YEARLY HIGH
33.9132 RSD
YEARLY LOW
28.1123 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
30.9638 RSD

2021 GEL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 33.9132. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 29, dropping to 28.1123.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.8009 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 29.3027 to the December average rate of 33.5855, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 33.9132 was down 12.70% compared to the 2020 peak of 38.8489, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 169,566 RSD
2020 Average 166,260 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 140,561 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,004.59 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

34.0779
28.1698
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.4302, compared to 32.4974 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.0673 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.4302
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 32.4974

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 1.8998 RSD (High: 31.4171 / Low: 29.5173). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4750 RSD (High: 29.7886 / Low: 29.3137).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.8998
March Spread (Stable) ±0.4750

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.9514 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9514

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 33.5855) against the same month in 2020 (average: 29.3263), the exchange rate shifted by +4.2593 (+14.52%).

2021 Avg (December) 33.5855
2020 Avg (December) 29.3263

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 29.5152 28.7900 29.3027
February 29.5806 29.0594 29.3462
March 29.7886 29.3137 29.6135
April 29.2962 28.1123 28.6621
May 29.6104 28.1277 28.7150
June 31.4171 29.5173 30.9415
July 32.3961 31.1399 31.8416
August 32.4045 31.9005 32.2147
September 32.6750 31.8668 32.1214
October 32.6344 32.0388 32.3351
November 33.7460 32.0775 32.8862
December 33.9132 33.2385 33.5855