YEARLY HIGH
41.4594 RSD
YEARLY LOW
37.8608 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
39.8314 RSD

2024 GEL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the GEL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 41.4594. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 12, dropping to 37.8608.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.5986 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.1628 to the December average rate of 39.6857, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 41.4594 was down 3.82% compared to the 2023 peak of 43.1057, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 207,297 RSD
2023 Average 206,657 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 189,304 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,993.19 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

41.1660
38.3721
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 40.1384, compared to 39.5244 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6140 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 40.1384
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 39.5244

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was May, with a trading range of 2.9482 RSD (High: 41.0250 / Low: 38.0768). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8562 RSD (High: 41.2932 / Low: 40.4370).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.9482
February Spread (Stable) ±0.8562

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.3809 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3809

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2024: 40.8328) against the same month in 2023 (average: 42.4032), the exchange rate shifted by -1.5704 (-3.70%).

2024 Avg (April) 40.8328
2023 Avg (April) 42.4032

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 40.6637 39.5085 40.1628
February 41.2932 40.4370 40.9332
March 40.8068 39.5469 40.3110
April 41.4594 40.2493 40.8328
May 41.0250 38.0768 39.9859
June 39.4513 37.8608 38.6049
July 39.9426 38.6993 39.4453
August 40.0421 38.7607 39.3788
September 39.4338 38.3963 38.9864
October 39.8452 38.8246 39.3788
November 41.0147 39.2982 40.2717
December 40.3280 38.7756 39.6857