YEARLY HIGH
48.9663 RSD
YEARLY LOW
36.9553 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
43.1388 RSD

2017 GEL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the GEL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 14, valuing the pair at 48.9663. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 30, dropping to 36.9553.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.0111 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.1631 to the December average rate of 38.2927, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 48.9663 was down 5.24% compared to the 2016 peak of 51.6734, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 244,832 RSD
2016 Average 235,725 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 184,776 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 60,055.41 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

48.7881
37.3385
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 45.5124, compared to 40.7653 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.7471 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 45.5124
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 40.7653

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was November, with a trading range of 3.7696 RSD (High: 40.7249 / Low: 36.9553). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9249 RSD (High: 41.0957 / Low: 40.1708).

November Spread (Volatile) ±3.7696
October Spread (Stable) ±0.9249

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.9851 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9851

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2017: 47.8339) against the same month in 2016 (average: 48.0076), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1737 (-0.36%).

2017 Avg (April) 47.8339
2016 Avg (April) 48.0076

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 44.7083 42.5074 43.1631
February 45.8049 42.7114 44.2240
March 47.8783 46.2615 46.9768
April 48.9663 45.7052 47.8339
May 46.5961 45.1020 45.8489
June 45.5211 43.8382 45.0274
July 44.3795 42.4045 43.5233
August 42.8095 41.1808 42.1685
September 41.2526 40.1162 40.5888
October 41.0957 40.1708 40.7838
November 40.7249 36.9553 39.2346
December 39.6305 36.9999 38.2927