YEARLY HIGH
38.8489 RSD
YEARLY LOW
29.0545 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
33.2676 RSD

2020 GEL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the GEL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 25, valuing the pair at 38.8489. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 29.0545.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.7944 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 36.7942 to the December average rate of 29.3263, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 38.8489 was down 2.29% compared to the 2019 peak of 39.7590, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 194,245 RSD
2019 Average 187,116 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 145,273 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 48,971.88 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

38.7464
28.4699
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 35.3311, compared to 31.2041 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.1270 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 35.3311
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.2041

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 7.3741 RSD (High: 38.3799 / Low: 31.0058). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4887 RSD (High: 37.0069 / Low: 36.5182).

March Spread (Volatile) ±7.3741
January Spread (Stable) ±0.4887

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 2.4354 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4354

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2020: 37.8900) against the same month in 2019 (average: 39.2640), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3739 (-3.50%).

2020 Avg (February) 37.8900
2019 Avg (February) 39.2640

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 37.0069 36.5182 36.7942
February 38.8489 36.7664 37.8900
March 38.3799 31.0058 35.4547
April 34.4363 32.6514 33.9966
May 33.9267 33.2222 33.6470
June 35.2847 32.8182 34.2039
July 34.2291 32.0097 33.4144
August 32.4781 31.8657 32.1683
September 32.3545 29.8925 31.4077
October 31.2726 30.5649 30.9887
November 31.1605 29.1053 29.9191
December 29.6037 29.0545 29.3263