YEARLY HIGH
17.9596 BIF
YEARLY LOW
14.8306 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.6061 BIF

2012 KES to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 17.9596. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 14.8306.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1290 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.0827 to the December average rate of 17.7315, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.56% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 17.9596 was up 14.86% compared to the 2011 peak of 15.6364, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 89,798 BIF
2011 Average 68,377 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 74,153 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,645.15 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

17.9963
14.8178
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.8884, compared to 17.3239 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4354 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.8884
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.3239

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was April, with a trading range of 1.1966 BIF (High: 16.6268 / Low: 15.4302). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2858 BIF (High: 17.3035 / Low: 17.0177).

April Spread (Volatile) ±1.1966
August Spread (Stable) ±0.2858

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 17.7315) against the same month in 2011 (average: 14.9253), the exchange rate shifted by +2.8062 (+18.80%).

2012 Avg (December) 17.7315
2011 Avg (December) 14.9253

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.5401 14.8306 15.0827
February 15.7817 15.3807 15.6593
March 15.8308 15.4984 15.6632
April 16.6268 15.4302 15.8268
May 16.7959 16.2630 16.5185
June 16.8392 16.2361 16.5802
July 17.2326 16.6858 16.9581
August 17.3035 17.0177 17.1648
September 17.4515 16.9472 17.1977
October 17.5087 17.2224 17.4224
November 17.7328 17.1560 17.4687
December 17.9596 17.3350 17.7315