2016 KES to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

16.6865 BIF

YEARLY LOW

15.1116 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

15.9263 BIF

2016 KES to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 25, valuing the pair at 16.6865. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 15.1116.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5749 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.2576 to the December average rate of 16.3980, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 16.6865 was down 3.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 17.3287, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 83,433 BIF

2015 Average 79,935 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 75,558 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,874.34 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

16.5709

15.1382

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.4401, compared to 16.4126 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9725 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.4401

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.4126

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1.3422 BIF (High: 16.6865 / Low: 15.3443). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1026 BIF (High: 16.4843 / Low: 16.3817).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.3422

October Spread (Stable) ±0.1026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0406 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0406

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 15.8737) against the same month in 2015 (average: 16.0097), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1360 (-0.85%).

2016 Avg (June) 15.8737

2015 Avg (June) 16.0097

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	15.3817	15.1116	15.2576
February	15.3905	15.1869	15.2996
March	15.4833	15.2646	15.3869
April	15.4661	15.1990	15.3463
May	15.6086	15.3219	15.4765
June	16.6865	15.3443	15.8737
July	16.4525	16.2703	16.3631
August	16.5036	16.3047	16.3913
September	16.5288	16.3699	16.4383
October	16.4843	16.3817	16.4515
November	16.5074	16.3670	16.4332
December	16.5368	16.2781	16.3980