YEARLY HIGH
22.9621 BIF
YEARLY LOW
17.4745 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
21.5242 BIF

2024 KES to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the KES to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 16, valuing the pair at 22.9621. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 17.4745.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.4876 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.8619 to the December average rate of 22.7943, the exchange rate registered a net change of 27.61% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 22.9621 was up 11.78% compared to the 2023 peak of 20.5426, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 114,810 BIF
2023 Average 90,719 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 87,373 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,437.92 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

23.2875
17.3687
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.5545, compared to 22.4940 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.9395 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.5545
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 22.4940

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was February, with a trading range of 2.5229 BIF (High: 20.0301 / Low: 17.5072). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1393 BIF (High: 22.4881 / Low: 22.3488).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.5229
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1393

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0079 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0079

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2024: 22.6001) against the same month in 2023 (average: 18.6913), the exchange rate shifted by +3.9088 (+20.91%).

2024 Avg (November) 22.6001
2023 Avg (November) 18.6913

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 18.2373 17.4745 17.8619
February 20.0301 17.5072 18.8000
March 21.6890 19.5034 20.8276
April 22.4951 21.3146 21.8273
May 22.3792 21.2542 21.8194
June 22.4125 21.9052 22.1905
July 22.5989 21.8705 22.3103
August 22.4350 22.1346 22.3024
September 22.4881 22.3488 22.4430
October 22.8690 22.4185 22.5139
November 22.9621 22.3552 22.6001
December 22.9062 22.3985 22.7943