2013 KES to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

18.8816 BIF

YEARLY LOW

17.2666 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

18.0014 BIF

2013 KES to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 9, valuing the pair at 18.8816. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 17.2666.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6151 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.4493 to the December average rate of 17.9194, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 18.8816 was up 5.13% compared to the 2012 peak of 17.9596, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 94,408 BIF

2012 Average 83,048 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 86,333 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,075.31 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

18.8015

17.3264

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 18.1736, compared to 17.8292 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3444 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 18.1736

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.8292

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 1.0057 BIF (High: 18.4177 / Low: 17.4121). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1312 BIF (High: 17.6404 / Low: 17.5092).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.0057

August Spread (Stable) ±0.1312

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.4948 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4948

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 18.6785) against the same month in 2012 (average: 16.5185), the exchange rate shifted by +2.1601 (+13.08%).

2013 Avg (May) 18.6785

2012 Avg (May) 16.5185

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	17.8339	17.2666	17.4493
February	18.0528	17.7241	17.9235
March	18.4177	17.4121	18.1566
April	18.7960	18.3820	18.6501
May	18.8816	18.2554	18.6785
June	18.3450	18.0408	18.1837
July	17.9996	17.5249	17.7924
August	17.6404	17.5092	17.5723
September	17.8090	17.5399	17.6208
October	18.2509	17.7204	18.0955
November	18.1535	17.8049	17.9750
December	18.0387	17.7887	17.9194