2015 KES to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

17.3287 BIF

YEARLY LOW

14.5868 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

15.9932 BIF

2015 KES to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the KES to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 17.3287. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 14, dropping to 14.5868.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7419 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.1533 to the December average rate of 15.2159, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.29% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 17.3287 was down 4.63% compared to the 2014 peak of 18.1700, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 86,644 BIF

2014 Average 88,275 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 72,934 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,709.47 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

17.3920

14.5275

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.7446, compared to 15.2417 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.7446

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.2417

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 1.0566 BIF (High: 16.2576 / Low: 15.2011). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1814 BIF (High: 17.2416 / Low: 17.0603).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.0566

February Spread (Stable) ±0.1814

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.7234 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7234

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 17.1533) against the same month in 2014 (average: 17.9552), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8019 (-4.47%).

2015 Avg (January) 17.1533

2014 Avg (January) 17.9552

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	17.3287	17.0052	17.1533
February	17.2416	17.0603	17.1463
March	17.2385	16.8731	17.1027
April	17.0244	16.5405	16.7748
May	16.5713	15.9138	16.2808
June	16.2333	15.8023	16.0097
July	16.2576	15.2011	15.8938
August	15.4614	14.8922	15.1704
September	14.9351	14.5868	14.7662
October	15.4366	14.8388	15.1672
November	15.3784	15.1172	15.2367
December	15.3549	15.0202	15.2159