YEARLY HIGH
10.2732 UGX
YEARLY LOW
8.1794 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.0217 UGX

2011 MRO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MRO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 26, valuing the pair at 10.2732. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 27, dropping to 8.1794.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0938 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.3108 to the December average rate of 8.5607, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 10.2732 was up 22.48% compared to the 2010 peak of 8.3876, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,366 UGX
2010 Average 39,769 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 40,897 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,469.18 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

10.1917
8.1398
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.5919, compared to 9.4514 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8596 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.5919
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.4514

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 1.0991 UGX (High: 10.1230 / Low: 9.0239). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2395 UGX (High: 8.9598 / Low: 8.7203).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.0991
May Spread (Stable) ±0.2395

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.6923 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6923

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 9.9146) against the same month in 2010 (average: 7.8569), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0577 (+26.19%).

2011 Avg (August) 9.9146
2010 Avg (August) 7.8569

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.4380 8.1868 8.3108
February 8.4706 8.1794 8.3268
March 8.7113 8.2858 8.4976
April 8.7737 8.2659 8.6271
May 8.9598 8.7203 8.8025
June 9.7557 8.7086 8.9864
July 9.5587 9.2768 9.4010
August 10.2732 9.4591 9.9146
September 10.1766 9.8182 10.0207
October 10.1230 9.0239 9.7520
November 9.3043 8.7860 9.0597
December 8.8963 8.2676 8.5607