2015 MRO to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.7550 UGX

YEARLY LOW

9.4066 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.4663 UGX

2015 MRO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MRO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 12.7550. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 23, dropping to 9.4066.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3483 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.7887 to the December average rate of 11.0311, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 12.7550 was up 33.32% compared to the 2014 peak of 9.5674, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 63,775 UGX

2014 Average 44,471 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 47,033 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,741.67 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

12.4545

9.2812

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.7710, compared to 11.1617 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3907 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.7710

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.1617

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was October, with a trading range of 1.8930 UGX (High: 12.7550 / Low: 10.8620). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1972 UGX (High: 9.9288 / Low: 9.7316).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.8930

February Spread (Stable) ±0.1972

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.5536 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5536

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 12.1901) against the same month in 2014 (average: 9.1589), the exchange rate shifted by +3.0311 (+33.09%).

2015 Avg (October) 12.1901

2014 Avg (October) 9.1589

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9.9798	9.4853	9.7887
February	9.9288	9.7316	9.8472
March	10.3185	9.4066	9.9007
April	9.7411	9.4452	9.5456
May	9.8898	9.4330	9.5956
June	10.2336	9.7407	9.9481
July	10.8180	10.0179	10.2828
August	11.5559	10.5331	11.0430
September	12.6140	11.4623	11.7866
October	12.7550	10.8620	12.1901
November	11.0812	10.0462	10.6365
December	11.3819	10.8151	11.0311