2020 MRO to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.9813 UGX

YEARLY LOW

10.2082 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.4112 UGX

2020 MRO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MRO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 10.9813. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 10.2082.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7731 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3039 to the December average rate of 10.2667, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 10.9813 was up 3.68% compared to the 2019 peak of 10.5914, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,906 UGX

2019 Average 51,884 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 51,041 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,865.33 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

10.6515

10.2317

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.4717, compared to 10.3508 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1209 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.4717

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.3508

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.6152 UGX (High: 10.9813 / Low: 10.3661). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0768 UGX (High: 10.6517 / Low: 10.5749).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.6152

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0768

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1492 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1492

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 10.5502) against the same month in 2019 (average: 10.3784), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1718 (+1.66%).

2020 Avg (March) 10.5502

2019 Avg (March) 10.3784

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.3963	10.2608	10.3039
February	10.3920	10.2644	10.2995
March	10.9813	10.3661	10.5502
April	10.6631	10.5112	10.5929
May	10.6517	10.5749	10.6165
June	10.5872	10.4218	10.4672
July	10.4416	10.3233	10.3742
August	10.3518	10.2505	10.2995
September	10.4142	10.3014	10.3552
October	10.4819	10.3406	10.4153
November	10.4775	10.3363	10.3938
December	10.3666	10.2082	10.2667