2016 MRO to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.9995 UGX

YEARLY LOW

9.3622 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

9.7411 UGX

2016 MRO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MRO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 10.9995. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 16, dropping to 9.3622.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6373 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3069 to the December average rate of 10.0547, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 10.9995 was down 13.76% compared to the 2015 peak of 12.7550, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,997 UGX

2015 Average 52,356 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 46,811 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,186.42 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

10.3917

9.3731

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.7917, compared to 9.6904 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1013 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.7917

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.6904

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.9585 UGX (High: 10.9995 / Low: 10.0410). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0462 UGX (High: 9.5199 / Low: 9.4737).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.9585

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0462

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2788 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2788

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 10.3069) against the same month in 2015 (average: 9.7887), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5182 (+5.29%).

2016 Avg (January) 10.3069

2015 Avg (January) 9.7887

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.9995	10.0410	10.3069
February	10.4600	9.7614	10.0280
March	9.8436	9.6711	9.7798
April	9.8490	9.5152	9.6697
May	9.6730	9.3622	9.5080
June	9.5873	9.3945	9.4580
July	9.5744	9.4556	9.5191
August	9.5455	9.4473	9.4886
September	9.5199	9.4737	9.5012
October	9.7040	9.5151	9.6216
November	10.1689	9.7202	9.9572
December	10.1722	9.9262	10.0547