2017 MRO to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.3099 UGX

YEARLY LOW

9.8179 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.0482 UGX

2017 MRO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the MRO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 22, valuing the pair at 10.3099. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 9.8179.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4920 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.0823 to the December average rate of 10.2089, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 10.3099 was down 6.27% compared to the 2016 peak of 10.9995, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,550 UGX

2016 Average 48,703 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 49,089 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,460.10 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

10.2873

9.8501

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.0387, compared to 10.0577 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0190 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.0387

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.0577

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was October, with a trading range of 0.4042 UGX (High: 10.2975 / Low: 9.8933). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1030 UGX (High: 10.3099 / Low: 10.2069).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.4042

November Spread (Stable) ±0.1030

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1033 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1033

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2017: 10.2508) against the same month in 2016 (average: 9.9572), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2937 (+2.95%).

2017 Avg (November) 10.2508

2016 Avg (November) 9.9572

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.1604	10.0046	10.0823
February	10.0978	9.9706	9.9930
March	10.1550	9.9801	10.0442
April	10.1443	10.0251	10.0812
May	10.1223	9.9930	10.0675
June	10.0622	9.8912	9.9642
July	10.0823	9.9155	9.9791
August	10.0138	9.8591	9.9423
September	9.9761	9.8179	9.8865
October	10.2975	9.8933	10.0787
November	10.3099	10.2069	10.2508
December	10.2472	10.1194	10.2089