2018 MRO to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

18.2240 UGX

YEARLY LOW

10.2042 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.5033 UGX

2018 MRO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MRO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 18.2240. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 10.2042.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.0198 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.2562 to the December average rate of 10.4035, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 18.2240 was up 76.76% compared to the 2017 peak of 10.3099, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 91,120 UGX

2017 Average 50,244 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 51,021 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 40,098.88 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

11.1574

10.1574

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.4063, compared to 10.6003 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1941 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.4063

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.6003

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 7.7324 UGX (High: 18.2240 / Low: 10.4916). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0865 UGX (High: 10.2907 / Low: 10.2042).

October Spread (Volatile) ±7.7324

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0865

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.6057 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6057

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 11.0740) against the same month in 2017 (average: 10.0787), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9953 (+9.88%).

2018 Avg (October) 11.0740

2017 Avg (October) 10.0787

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.3288	10.2158	10.2562
February	10.2907	10.2042	10.2407
March	10.3823	10.2282	10.2780
April	10.4670	10.3305	10.3979
May	10.6037	10.4132	10.4770
June	10.9836	10.5974	10.7877
July	10.9406	10.3626	10.5497
August	10.5606	10.3517	10.4604
September	10.7157	10.5437	10.6460
October	18.2240	10.4916	11.0740
November	10.5255	10.3846	10.4683
December	10.4755	10.3435	10.4035