2019 MRO to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.5914 UGX

YEARLY LOW

10.1517 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.3763 UGX

2019 MRO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MRO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 10.5914. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 10.1517.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4397 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3760 to the December average rate of 10.2928, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 10.5914 was down 41.88% compared to the 2018 peak of 18.2240, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 52,957 UGX

2018 Average 52,523 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 50,758 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,198.47 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

10.5772

10.2629

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.4204, compared to 10.3322 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0883 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.4204

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.3322

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.2716 UGX (High: 10.5665 / Low: 10.2949). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0628 UGX (High: 10.4083 / Low: 10.3455).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.2716

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0628

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1004 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1004

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 10.5510) against the same month in 2018 (average: 10.4770), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0740 (+0.71%).

2019 Avg (May) 10.5510

2018 Avg (May) 10.4770

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.4632	10.2452	10.3760
February	10.3748	10.2642	10.2890
March	10.4083	10.3455	10.3784
April	10.5272	10.4008	10.4723
May	10.5914	10.4866	10.5510
June	10.5665	10.2949	10.4558
July	10.4321	10.3275	10.3555
August	10.3735	10.1517	10.3383
September	10.3433	10.2081	10.2953
October	10.4449	10.2707	10.3580
November	10.3921	10.3181	10.3531
December	10.3781	10.2516	10.2928