YEARLY HIGH
9.9173 UGX
YEARLY LOW
8.3058 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.8188 UGX

2013 MRO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MRO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 29, valuing the pair at 9.9173. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 6, dropping to 8.3058.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6114 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.9040 to the December average rate of 8.6169, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 9.9173 was up 9.44% compared to the 2012 peak of 9.0622, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 49,586 UGX
2012 Average 42,452 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 41,529 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,057.17 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

9.5101
8.3652
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.0464, compared to 8.5913 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4551 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.0464
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.5913

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 1.2117 UGX (High: 9.8273 / Low: 8.6156). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1226 UGX (High: 8.6848 / Low: 8.5622).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.2117
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1226

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.5780 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5780

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2013: 9.4147) against the same month in 2012 (average: 8.6283), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7864 (+9.11%).

2013 Avg (April) 9.4147
2012 Avg (April) 8.6283

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.9885 8.8348 8.9040
February 8.9714 8.8066 8.8767
March 9.3478 8.9399 9.1227
April 9.9173 9.1783 9.4147
May 9.8273 8.6156 9.2690
June 8.8185 8.6044 8.6910
July 8.8677 8.4917 8.6961
August 8.7843 8.5235 8.5837
September 8.9550 8.4651 8.7296
October 8.7395 8.3399 8.4606
November 8.6978 8.3058 8.4609
December 8.6848 8.5622 8.6169