YEARLY HIGH
9.5674 UGX
YEARLY LOW
8.4163 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.8914 UGX

2014 MRO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MRO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 9.5674. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 12, dropping to 8.4163.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1511 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.5998 to the December average rate of 9.5086, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 9.5674 was down 3.53% compared to the 2013 peak of 9.9173, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,837 UGX
2013 Average 44,092 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 42,082 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,755.53 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

9.6107
8.3848
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.6225, compared to 9.1602 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5377 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.6225
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.1602

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.3623 UGX (High: 9.5400 / Low: 9.1777). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1092 UGX (High: 9.5674 / Low: 9.4582).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3623
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1092

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1129 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1129

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 9.5086) against the same month in 2013 (average: 8.6169), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8917 (+10.35%).

2014 Avg (December) 9.5086
2013 Avg (December) 8.6169

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.6924 8.4985 8.5998
February 8.6910 8.4163 8.4870
March 8.7457 8.5569 8.6601
April 8.7728 8.4459 8.5615
May 8.7244 8.5247 8.6125
June 8.9410 8.6941 8.8143
July 9.1274 8.8919 9.0184
August 8.9951 8.8230 8.9367
September 9.1014 8.8781 8.9803
October 9.2884 9.0467 9.1589
November 9.5400 9.1777 9.3583
December 9.5674 9.4582 9.5086