YEARLY HIGH
5.2589 CDF
YEARLY LOW
4.7889 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9412 CDF

2021 NGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the NGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 30, valuing the pair at 5.2589. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 21, dropping to 4.7889.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4700 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0894 to the December average rate of 4.8647, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.2589 was up 0.07% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.2550, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,258,870 CDF
2020 Average 4,864,742 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 4,788,883 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 469,987.03 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

5.1549
4.8020
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0293, compared to 4.8531 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1762 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0293
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8531

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 0.4637 CDF (High: 5.2526 / Low: 4.7889). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0306 CDF (High: 4.8519 / Low: 4.8213).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4637
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0306

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1547 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1547

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 5.0968) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.4653), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6315 (+14.14%).

2021 Avg (April) 5.0968
2020 Avg (April) 4.4653

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1938 4.9686 5.0894
February 5.2141 4.8110 5.0816
March 5.2526 4.7889 5.1255
April 5.2589 4.8263 5.0968
May 5.2589 4.8252 4.9421
June 4.8571 4.8136 4.8406
July 4.8866 4.8222 4.8449
August 4.8519 4.8213 4.8314
September 4.8663 4.8220 4.8381
October 4.9049 4.8243 4.8618
November 4.8967 4.8476 4.8779
December 4.8835 4.8192 4.8647