YEARLY HIGH
5.1177 CDF
YEARLY LOW
2.8787 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8561 CDF

2023 NGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the NGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 13, valuing the pair at 5.1177. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 23, dropping to 2.8787.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2391 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5069 to the December average rate of 3.3669, the exchange rate registered a net change of -25.29% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 5.1177 was up 4.48% compared to the 2022 peak of 4.8981, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,117,708 CDF
2022 Average 4,769,474 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 2,878,653 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,239,054.54 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

4.9010
3.0195
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4825, compared to 3.2297 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2528 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4825
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2297

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 2.2258 CDF (High: 5.1177 / Low: 2.8919). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0814 CDF (High: 4.5218 / Low: 4.4404).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.2258
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0814

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.9750 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9750

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2023: 4.1528) against the same month in 2022 (average: 4.8140), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6612 (-13.74%).

2023 Avg (June) 4.1528
2022 Avg (June) 4.8140

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5953 4.4365 4.5069
February 4.5218 4.4404 4.4802
March 4.5320 4.4428 4.4985
April 4.7361 4.4054 4.5122
May 5.0639 4.4216 4.7442
June 5.1177 2.8919 4.1528
July 3.2591 3.1200 3.1778
August 3.3029 3.1362 3.2267
September 3.3410 3.1184 3.2094
October 3.3487 2.8787 3.2209
November 3.4470 3.0000 3.1763
December 3.5720 3.0195 3.3669