YEARLY HIGH
5.8208 CDF
YEARLY LOW
5.0062 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5992 CDF

2014 NGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the NGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 5.8208. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 5.0062.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8146 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7730 to the December average rate of 5.0882, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 5.8208 was down 1.54% compared to the 2013 peak of 5.9117, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,820,771 CDF
2013 Average 5,793,131 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 5,006,209 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 814,561.76 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

5.8415
5.0197
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.6753, compared to 5.5231 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1522 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.6753
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5231

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.4119 CDF (High: 5.5913 / Low: 5.1794). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0422 CDF (High: 5.6235 / Low: 5.5813).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4119
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0422

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.3050 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3050

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 5.7730) against the same month in 2013 (average: 5.8770), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1040 (-1.77%).

2014 Avg (January) 5.7730
2013 Avg (January) 5.8770

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8208 5.6732 5.7730
February 5.6851 5.5494 5.6293
March 5.6235 5.5813 5.5999
April 5.7431 5.5862 5.6887
May 5.8083 5.6438 5.7021
June 5.6886 5.6311 5.6591
July 5.7060 5.6599 5.6871
August 5.7327 5.6608 5.6963
September 5.6912 5.6298 5.6613
October 5.6530 5.5786 5.6128
November 5.5913 5.1794 5.3932
December 5.1610 5.0062 5.0882