YEARLY HIGH
5.4169 CDF
YEARLY LOW
4.4548 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5934 CDF

2019 NGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the NGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 5.4169. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 4.4548.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9621 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4986 to the December average rate of 4.6282, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5.4169 was up 18.07% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.5878, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,416,871 CDF
2018 Average 4,482,167 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 4,454,795 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 962,076.09 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.8085
4.4705
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5786, compared to 4.6083 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0298 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5786
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6083

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.9183 CDF (High: 5.4091 / Low: 4.4908). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0346 CDF (High: 4.6058 / Low: 4.5712).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.9183
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0346

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1750 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1750

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 4.7804) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.4822), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2982 (+6.65%).

2019 Avg (June) 4.7804
2018 Avg (June) 4.4822

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5424 4.4548 4.4986
February 4.5613 4.5059 4.5314
March 4.5665 4.5118 4.5446
April 4.5785 4.5265 4.5511
May 4.5958 4.5351 4.5651
June 5.4169 4.5713 4.7804
July 4.6342 4.5652 4.6053
August 5.4091 4.4908 4.6242
September 4.6417 4.5798 4.6031
October 4.6150 4.5721 4.5960
November 4.6058 4.5712 4.5931
December 4.6547 4.5952 4.6282