YEARLY HIGH
5.1556 CDF
YEARLY LOW
4.5192 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6824 CDF

2015 NGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the NGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 5.1556. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 12, dropping to 4.5192.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6364 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9804 to the December average rate of 4.6582, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.1556 was down 11.43% compared to the 2014 peak of 5.8208, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,155,581 CDF
2014 Average 5,598,979 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 4,519,213 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 636,368.80 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.0145
4.6060
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.7078, compared to 4.6570 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0508 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.7078
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6570

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was February, with a trading range of 0.3842 CDF (High: 4.9034 / Low: 4.5192). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0189 CDF (High: 4.6694 / Low: 4.6505).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.3842
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0189

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3084 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3084

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 4.9804) against the same month in 2014 (average: 5.7730), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7926 (-13.73%).

2015 Avg (January) 4.9804
2014 Avg (January) 5.7730

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1556 4.8167 4.9804
February 4.9034 4.5192 4.6721
March 4.6612 4.5381 4.6400
April 4.6788 4.6328 4.6562
May 4.6654 4.6309 4.6471
June 4.6760 4.6283 4.6509
July 4.6686 4.6330 4.6550
August 4.6656 4.6269 4.6523
September 4.6694 4.6505 4.6594
October 4.6678 4.6402 4.6580
November 4.6710 4.6379 4.6592
December 4.6937 4.6182 4.6582