YEARLY HIGH
4.8023 CDF
YEARLY LOW
2.8226 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9153 CDF

2016 NGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 19, valuing the pair at 4.8023. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 22, dropping to 2.8226.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9798 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6556 to the December average rate of 3.6999, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.8023 was down 6.85% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.1556, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,802,312 CDF
2015 Average 4,682,785 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 2,822,557 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,979,754.14 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.8291
2.8685
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5992, compared to 3.2314 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.3679 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5992
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2314

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1.4516 CDF (High: 4.8023 / Low: 3.3507). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0242 CDF (High: 4.6728 / Low: 4.6485).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.4516
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0242

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.0346 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0346

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 4.2922) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.6509), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3587 (-7.71%).

2016 Avg (June) 4.2922
2015 Avg (June) 4.6509

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6695 4.6391 4.6556
February 4.6777 4.6453 4.6657
March 4.6838 4.6316 4.6588
April 4.6710 4.6456 4.6624
May 4.6728 4.6485 4.6608
June 4.8023 3.3507 4.2922
July 3.3610 3.0373 3.2576
August 3.1376 2.8226 3.0319
September 3.1470 3.0984 3.1193
October 3.1625 3.0516 3.1039
November 3.6420 2.9262 3.1757
December 3.8259 3.5957 3.6999