YEARLY HIGH
6.1633 CDF
YEARLY LOW
5.5106 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.8499 CDF

2011 NGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the NGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 6.1633. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 5.5106.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6527 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.9415 to the December average rate of 5.5698, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 6.1633 was down 0.08% compared to the 2010 peak of 6.1683, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,163,310 CDF
2010 Average 5,926,447 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 5,510,630 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 652,680.29 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

6.0323
5.5277
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8979, compared to 5.8019 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0961 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8979
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8019

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was August, with a trading range of 0.2936 CDF (High: 6.1633 / Low: 5.8697). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0843 CDF (High: 6.0308 / Low: 5.9464).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2936
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0843

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2011. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1614 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1614

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 5.9329) against the same month in 2010 (average: 5.9125), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0204 (+0.35%).

2011 Avg (August) 5.9329
2010 Avg (August) 5.9125

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0058 5.8307 5.9415
February 6.0308 5.9464 5.9862
March 5.9641 5.8300 5.8875
April 5.9520 5.8607 5.8933
May 5.9089 5.7721 5.8498
June 5.9766 5.7633 5.8292
July 6.0538 5.9210 5.9903
August 6.1633 5.8697 5.9329
September 5.9391 5.7706 5.8604
October 5.8123 5.5644 5.7267
November 5.8194 5.6125 5.7312
December 5.6138 5.5106 5.5698