YEARLY HIGH
5.2550 CDF
YEARLY LOW
3.9071 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8638 CDF

2020 NGN to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the NGN to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 7, valuing the pair at 5.2550. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 6, dropping to 3.9071.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3478 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6557 to the December average rate of 5.0924, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 5.2550 was down 2.99% compared to the 2019 peak of 5.4169, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,254,954 CDF
2019 Average 4,593,531 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 3,907,144 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,347,810.02 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

5.2159
4.3970
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6314, compared to 5.0963 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4649 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6314
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0963

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was December, with a trading range of 1.2848 CDF (High: 5.1919 / Low: 3.9071). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0341 CDF (High: 4.6674 / Low: 4.6333).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.2848
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0341

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1342 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1342

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2020: 5.0974) against the same month in 2019 (average: 4.6242), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4732 (+10.23%).

2020 Avg (August) 5.0974
2019 Avg (August) 4.6242

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6669 4.6137 4.6557
February 4.6674 4.6333 4.6438
March 4.6950 4.3740 4.5994
April 4.6757 4.3926 4.4653
May 4.7128 4.4337 4.5909
June 4.9656 4.7084 4.8330
July 5.0851 4.9253 5.0198
August 5.2550 5.0360 5.0974
September 5.1774 5.0634 5.1160
October 5.1643 4.7376 5.1045
November 5.1800 5.1117 5.1477
December 5.1919 3.9071 5.0924