YEARLY HIGH
127.1724 UGX
YEARLY LOW
102.9389 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
115.5290 UGX

2011 NIO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the NIO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 127.1724. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 102.9389.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 24.2335 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 117.3620 to the December average rate of 106.8973, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 127.1724 was up 8.08% compared to the 2010 peak of 117.6653, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 635,862 UGX
2010 Average 556,663 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 514,694 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 121,167.53 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

126.0829
105.1531
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 113.5086, compared to 117.5493 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.0407 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 113.5086
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 117.5493

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 14.4683 UGX (High: 119.4850 / Low: 105.0167). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7877 UGX (High: 107.6643 / Low: 106.8765).

April Spread (Volatile) ±14.4683
May Spread (Stable) ±0.7877

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 11.8447 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.8447

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 123.4521) against the same month in 2010 (average: 114.9248), the exchange rate shifted by +8.5273 (+7.42%).

2011 Avg (October) 123.4521
2010 Avg (October) 114.9248

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 120.4951 115.0745 117.3620
February 119.8865 116.0441 118.0110
March 121.7712 118.9461 120.3079
April 119.4850 105.0167 108.4632
May 107.6643 106.8765 107.2707
June 119.4194 106.9402 109.6369
July 116.4395 113.2405 115.2681
August 125.2004 116.0740 122.1756
September 126.9514 122.6962 124.3387
October 127.1724 113.7143 123.4521
November 115.9852 109.5198 113.1642
December 111.5466 102.9389 106.8973