YEARLY HIGH
103.0869 UGX
YEARLY LOW
94.0253 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
100.3642 UGX

2026 NIO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the NIO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 103.0869. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 94.0253.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.0616 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 97.0580 to the December average rate of 101.8309, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 103.0869 was up 2.07% compared to the 2025 peak of 100.9917, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 515,435 UGX
2025 Average 489,610 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 470,126 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 45,308.23 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

103.2199
96.4378
JanuMarcMayJuly

NIO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 100.0637, compared to 101.2657 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2020 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 100.0637
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.2657

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 4.9506 UGX (High: 102.9117 / Low: 97.9611). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3373 UGX (High: 102.0328 / Low: 101.6955).

March Spread (Volatile) ±4.9506
August Spread (Stable) ±0.3373

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.5404 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5404

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 102.6548) against the same month in 2025 (average: 99.2803), the exchange rate shifted by +3.3744 (+3.40%).

2026 Avg (May) 102.6548
2025 Avg (May) 99.2803

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 98.5867 94.0253 97.0580
February 98.1152 96.0562 97.0030
March 102.9117 97.9611 101.4476
April 102.1432 100.1762 101.1045
May 103.0869 101.8066 102.6548
June 102.9498 99.0095 101.1143
July 102.7059 99.1928 100.7005
August 102.0328 101.6955 101.8309