2018 NIO to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

123.4500 UGX

YEARLY LOW

113.8055 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

117.6992 UGX

2018 NIO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the NIO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 123.4500. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 113.8055.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.6444 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 117.5612 to the December average rate of 114.4982, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 123.4500 was down 1.61% compared to the 2017 peak of 125.4650, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 617,250 UGX

2017 Average 603,020 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 569,028 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 48,222.18 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

122.2367

113.7947

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 118.4269, compared to 116.9714 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4555 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 118.4269

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 116.9714

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 7.2914 UGX (High: 123.3517 / Low: 116.0603). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8097 UGX (High: 118.9411 / Low: 118.1314).

July Spread (Volatile) ±7.2914

April Spread (Stable) ±0.8097

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 3.0880 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.0880

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 121.5332) against the same month in 2017 (average: 120.5972), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9360 (+0.78%).

2018 Avg (June) 121.5332

2017 Avg (June) 120.5972

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	118.5447	116.3920	117.5612
February	117.5829	116.3376	116.8261
March	118.2567	116.9731	117.3212
April	118.9411	118.1314	118.4727
May	119.7159	118.2956	118.8470
June	123.4500	119.7216	121.5332
July	123.3517	116.0603	118.4451
August	118.1028	115.4675	117.0091
September	119.4169	117.8142	118.6727
October	118.9318	116.4691	117.4622
November	116.4382	114.9938	115.7412
December	115.4963	113.8055	114.4982