YEARLY HIGH
115.0572 UGX
YEARLY LOW
104.4998 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
108.0724 UGX

2020 NIO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the NIO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 25, valuing the pair at 115.0572. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 104.4998.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.5574 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 108.3637 to the December average rate of 105.1394, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 115.0572 was up 0.04% compared to the 2019 peak of 115.0162, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 575,286 UGX
2019 Average 557,339 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 522,499 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 52,787.19 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

112.1022
104.5064
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 109.8604, compared to 106.2844 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.5760 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 109.8604
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 106.2844

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 6.7293 UGX (High: 115.0572 / Low: 108.3279). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6088 UGX (High: 107.7037 / Low: 106.0948).

March Spread (Volatile) ±6.7293
October Spread (Stable) ±1.6088

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.2737 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.2737

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 110.9013) against the same month in 2019 (average: 112.8960), the exchange rate shifted by -1.9946 (-1.77%).

2020 Avg (March) 110.9013
2019 Avg (March) 112.8960

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 109.4810 107.3982 108.3637
February 109.4112 107.2251 108.1661
March 115.0572 108.3279 110.9013
April 112.2474 109.4679 110.9010
May 112.4256 109.7079 111.4692
June 111.2848 107.8606 109.3612
July 109.3079 106.3500 107.0875
August 107.1012 105.2945 105.7665
September 107.1330 105.4640 106.3481
October 107.7037 106.0948 106.9794
November 107.7037 104.6995 106.3855
December 106.1662 104.4998 105.1394