YEARLY HIGH
115.0162 UGX
YEARLY LOW
107.3204 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
111.4718 UGX

2019 NIO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the NIO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 115.0162. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 107.3204.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.6957 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 113.9206 to the December average rate of 108.4727, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 115.0162 was down 6.83% compared to the 2018 peak of 123.4500, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 575,081 UGX
2018 Average 588,482 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 536,602 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 38,478.68 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

114.6255
107.9134
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 113.2176, compared to 109.7260 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.4916 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 113.2176
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 109.7260

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 3.9397 UGX (High: 114.3526 / Low: 110.4129). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9521 UGX (High: 109.9944 / Low: 109.0423).

June Spread (Volatile) ±3.9397
September Spread (Stable) ±0.9521

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.6757 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6757

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 113.9206) against the same month in 2018 (average: 117.5612), the exchange rate shifted by -3.6406 (-3.10%).

2019 Avg (January) 113.9206
2018 Avg (January) 117.5612

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 115.0162 112.3151 113.9206
February 112.9546 111.5913 112.2449
March 113.4062 112.4320 112.8960
April 113.9228 112.9694 113.5803
May 114.8383 113.0283 114.0661
June 114.3526 110.4129 112.5977
July 112.4521 109.9539 111.0676
August 110.5992 109.5650 110.1153
September 109.9944 109.0423 109.5447
October 110.8815 109.1408 109.8759
November 109.7674 108.6813 109.2799
December 109.6128 107.3204 108.4727