YEARLY HIGH
104.3087 UGX
YEARLY LOW
98.1228 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
101.8683 UGX

2023 NIO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the NIO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 30, valuing the pair at 104.3087. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 98.1228.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.1859 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 101.2033 to the December average rate of 103.1327, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 104.3087 was down 3.75% compared to the 2022 peak of 108.3705, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 521,543 UGX
2022 Average 514,350 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 490,614 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 30,929.43 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

103.5301
99.9126
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 101.7392, compared to 101.9975 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2583 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 101.7392
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.9975

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 4.1041 UGX (High: 102.2269 / Low: 98.1228). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2249 UGX (High: 103.3456 / Low: 102.1207).

August Spread (Volatile) ±4.1041
October Spread (Stable) ±1.2249

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.1275 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1275

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2023: 103.2286) against the same month in 2022 (average: 104.3242), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0956 (-1.05%).

2023 Avg (November) 103.2286
2022 Avg (November) 104.3242

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 102.3239 100.5124 101.2033
February 102.2890 99.8754 101.0338
March 103.6175 101.3283 102.3850
April 103.3858 101.9315 102.4970
May 103.3564 101.5855 101.9744
June 102.6880 100.2442 101.3415
July 101.1147 98.7752 100.2140
August 102.2269 98.1228 100.6094
September 103.0827 101.6385 102.2144
October 103.3456 102.1207 102.5859
November 104.3087 102.6241 103.2286
December 103.9126 102.1926 103.1327