2016 NIO to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

125.8277 UGX

YEARLY LOW

116.2134 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

119.5179 UGX

2016 NIO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NIO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 125.8277. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 116.2134.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.6143 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 123.8504 to the December average rate of 122.9055, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 125.8277 was down 7.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 135.3415, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 629,139 UGX

2015 Average 597,377 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 581,067 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 48,071.63 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

124.5593

116.0528

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 119.8328, compared to 119.2031 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6297 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 119.8328

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 119.2031

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 6.3911 UGX (High: 125.8277 / Low: 119.4366). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7609 UGX (High: 117.2663 / Low: 116.5054).

February Spread (Volatile) ±6.3911

September Spread (Stable) ±0.7609

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 3.2605 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.2605

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 122.2752) against the same month in 2015 (average: 107.6646), the exchange rate shifted by +14.6105 (+13.57%).

2016 Avg (February) 122.2752

2015 Avg (February) 107.6646

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	125.7642	121.1164	123.8504
February	125.8277	119.4366	122.2752
March	119.6099	118.3092	119.0146
April	119.4991	117.0766	118.5721
May	118.7070	116.2134	117.4211
June	119.4638	117.1027	117.8635
July	119.0547	117.1683	118.2039
August	117.8570	116.5384	116.9853
September	117.2663	116.5054	116.7617
October	119.0404	116.5594	118.1397
November	124.3943	119.0981	122.2223
December	124.5230	120.8519	122.9055