YEARLY HIGH
135.3415 UGX
YEARLY LOW
104.3260 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
119.4086 UGX

2015 NIO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the NIO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 5, valuing the pair at 135.3415. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 104.3260.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 31.0155 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 107.3166 to the December average rate of 120.5812, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 135.3415 was up 28.84% compared to the 2014 peak of 105.0457, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 676,708 UGX
2014 Average 499,961 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 521,630 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 155,077.51 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

136.4208
104.6708
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 111.2084, compared to 127.6089 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 16.4005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 111.2084
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 127.6089

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 9.8802 UGX (High: 131.0622 / Low: 121.1820). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3395 UGX (High: 112.3715 / Low: 111.0319).

July Spread (Volatile) ±9.8802
April Spread (Stable) ±1.3395

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 7.8440 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.8440

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 133.7750) against the same month in 2014 (average: 99.9041), the exchange rate shifted by +33.8709 (+33.90%).

2015 Avg (September) 133.7750
2014 Avg (September) 99.9041

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 109.2116 104.3260 107.3166
February 108.5669 107.1686 107.6646
March 113.1379 108.2091 110.2256
April 112.3715 111.0319 111.6851
May 113.8837 111.2100 112.0395
June 122.3452 113.7101 118.3187
July 131.0622 121.1820 124.0170
August 133.8687 125.8241 130.0594
September 135.3415 132.4761 133.7750
October 134.2230 128.8349 132.5324
November 129.2144 120.8373 124.6884
December 123.7399 118.4139 120.5812