YEARLY HIGH
100.9917 UGX
YEARLY LOW
93.1439 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
97.9345 UGX

2025 NIO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the NIO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 7, valuing the pair at 100.9917. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 93.1439.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.8479 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 100.2213 to the December average rate of 97.1575, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 100.9917 was down 5.98% compared to the 2024 peak of 107.4161, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NIO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 504,959 UGX
2024 Average 510,611 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 465,719 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 39,239.36 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

100.8151
93.6887
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NIO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 99.4898, compared to 96.3793 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.1105 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 99.4898
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 96.3793

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 4.8707 UGX (High: 99.4693 / Low: 94.5986). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4295 UGX (High: 100.1955 / Low: 99.7660).

November Spread (Volatile) ±4.8707
February Spread (Stable) ±0.4295

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.4265 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4265

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 99.6796) against the same month in 2024 (average: 103.7738), the exchange rate shifted by -4.0943 (-3.95%).

2025 Avg (April) 99.6796
2024 Avg (April) 103.7738

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 100.6344 99.8159 100.2213
February 100.1955 99.7660 99.9713
March 99.9823 99.4752 99.7079
April 100.9917 99.0412 99.6796
May 99.5199 98.7762 99.2803
June 98.9518 97.4400 98.0785
July 97.7542 97.1952 97.4985
August 97.5140 96.4006 96.8781
September 96.3596 95.0088 95.4516
October 95.0760 93.1439 94.2826
November 99.4693 94.5986 97.0074
December 98.4606 96.1266 97.1575