YEARLY HIGH
17.4370 BIF
YEARLY LOW
14.7123 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.3648 BIF

2011 NPR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the NPR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 2, valuing the pair at 17.4370. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 1, dropping to 14.7123.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7246 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.9460 to the December average rate of 15.3600, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 17.4370 was up 6.96% compared to the 2010 peak of 16.3028, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 87,185 BIF
2010 Average 79,631 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 73,562 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,623.12 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

17.4586
15.1692
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.5373, compared to 16.1922 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3451 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.5373
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.1922

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 1.3452 BIF (High: 17.4166 / Low: 16.0714). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2111 BIF (High: 16.0676 / Low: 15.8565).

April Spread (Volatile) ±1.3452
January Spread (Stable) ±0.2111

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.6782 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6782

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 16.9325) against the same month in 2010 (average: 15.7382), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1944 (+7.59%).

2011 Avg (August) 16.9325
2010 Avg (August) 15.7382

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.0676 15.8565 15.9460
February 16.0907 15.8325 15.9734
March 16.1268 15.8985 16.0322
April 17.4166 16.0714 17.1545
May 17.3208 16.8226 17.0379
June 17.2153 16.9662 17.0797
July 17.3974 17.1266 17.2678
August 17.4370 16.5786 16.9325
September 16.8619 15.8114 16.2544
October 15.9868 15.7025 15.8697
November 15.9373 14.9754 15.4691
December 15.9823 14.7123 15.3600