2018 NPR to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

17.5025 BIF

YEARLY LOW

14.9226 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

16.2840 BIF

2018 NPR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the NPR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 17.5025. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 9, dropping to 14.9226.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5799 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.3189 to the December average rate of 15.9924, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 17.5025 was up 1.57% compared to the 2017 peak of 17.2322, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 87,513 BIF

2017 Average 82,748 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 74,613 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,899.60 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

17.5296

15.0012

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.8442, compared to 15.7238 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1204 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.8442

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.7238

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 1.0322 BIF (High: 16.2913 / Low: 15.2591). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2572 BIF (High: 17.1041 / Low: 16.8469).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.0322

March Spread (Stable) ±0.2572

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.5537 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5537

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 17.3189) against the same month in 2017 (average: 15.4255), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8934 (+12.27%).

2018 Avg (January) 17.3189

2017 Avg (January) 15.4255

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	17.5025	17.1672	17.3189
February	17.3848	16.9501	17.1358
March	17.1041	16.8469	16.9777
April	17.1037	16.5408	16.8659
May	16.6600	16.1665	16.4103
June	16.6245	16.0852	16.3566
July	16.3068	15.9871	16.1213
August	16.2260	15.6015	15.9560
September	15.6015	15.2602	15.4023
October	15.4907	14.9226	15.2119
November	16.2913	15.2591	15.6590
December	16.3463	15.6291	15.9924