YEARLY HIGH
15.7218 BIF
YEARLY LOW
14.1560 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
15.0443 BIF

2016 NPR to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NPR to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 3, valuing the pair at 15.7218. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 14.1560.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5658 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.5084 to the December average rate of 15.4332, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 15.7218 was down 2.44% compared to the 2015 peak of 16.1147, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 78,609 BIF
2015 Average 76,369 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 70,780 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,828.84 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

15.7554
14.1579
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NPR to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.5784, compared to 15.5103 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9319 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.5784
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.5103

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1.1654 BIF (High: 15.5551 / Low: 14.3897). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1124 BIF (High: 15.7017 / Low: 15.5893).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.1654
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1124

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2173 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2173

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 15.4725) against the same month in 2015 (average: 14.7142), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7584 (+5.15%).

2016 Avg (November) 15.4725
2015 Avg (November) 14.7142

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.7262 14.2830 14.5084
February 14.4646 14.1560 14.2911
March 14.7423 14.3977 14.5794
April 14.7330 14.5422 14.6098
May 14.7104 14.3844 14.5690
June 15.5551 14.3897 14.9126
July 15.5242 15.3234 15.4215
August 15.5926 15.4325 15.5279
September 15.6789 15.4855 15.5843
October 15.7017 15.5893 15.6223
November 15.7218 15.2214 15.4725
December 15.6200 15.2857 15.4332