2011 SOS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7754 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.4291 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5627 UGX

2011 SOS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SOS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 1.7754. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 1.4291.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3464 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4542 to the December average rate of 1.5112, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.7754 was up 20.13% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.4779, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,877 UGX

2010 Average 6,990 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,145 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,731.91 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.7597

1.4265

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4859, compared to 1.6395 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1536 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4859

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6395

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.1862 UGX (High: 1.7754 / Low: 1.5892). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0176 UGX (High: 1.5047 / Low: 1.4871).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1862

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0176

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1378 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1378

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1.7269) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.4144), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3125 (+22.10%).

2011 Avg (October) 1.7269

2010 Avg (October) 1.4144

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.4956	1.4291	1.4542
February	1.4855	1.4422	1.4658
March	1.5133	1.4757	1.4963
April	1.4909	1.4563	1.4824
May	1.5047	1.4871	1.4949
June	1.6629	1.4799	1.5219
July	1.6420	1.5634	1.5912
August	1.7348	1.5982	1.6867
September	1.7702	1.7097	1.7319
October	1.7754	1.5892	1.7269
November	1.6215	1.5437	1.5891
December	1.6066	1.4503	1.5112