YEARLY HIGH
6.5147 UGX
YEARLY LOW
6.3044 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.3888 UGX

2019 SOS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SOS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 13, valuing the pair at 6.5147. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 6.3044.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2103 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3832 to the December average rate of 6.3373, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.5147 was down 3.60% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.7577, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,574 UGX
2018 Average 32,191 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 31,522 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,051.59 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

6.4996
6.3226
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4117, compared to 6.3659 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0458 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4117
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.3659

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.1839 UGX (High: 6.5135 / Low: 6.3296). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0605 UGX (High: 6.4133 / Low: 6.3527).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1839
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0605

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0594 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0594

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 6.4849) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.4646), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0203 (+0.31%).

2019 Avg (May) 6.4849
2018 Avg (May) 6.4646

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.4482 6.3210 6.3832
February 6.3913 6.3129 6.3381
March 6.4133 6.3527 6.3874
April 6.4959 6.4076 6.4508
May 6.5147 6.4388 6.4849
June 6.5135 6.3296 6.4255
July 6.4041 6.3272 6.3698
August 6.4767 6.3509 6.3823
September 6.4202 6.3124 6.3452
October 6.4295 6.3526 6.3807
November 6.4136 6.3521 6.3800
December 6.3978 6.3044 6.3373