YEARLY HIGH
6.8253 UGX
YEARLY LOW
5.9934 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.4130 UGX

2022 SOS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the SOS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 28, valuing the pair at 6.8253. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 5, dropping to 5.9934.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8319 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0668 to the December average rate of 6.4817, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 6.8253 was up 6.58% compared to the 2021 peak of 6.4040, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,126 UGX
2021 Average 30,861 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 29,967 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,159.57 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

6.7922
5.9789
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.1855, compared to 6.6404 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4549 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.1855
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6404

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 0.4134 UGX (High: 6.5025 / Low: 6.0891). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0964 UGX (High: 6.1803 / Low: 6.0838).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4134
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0964

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1301 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1301

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2022: 6.7241) against the same month in 2021 (average: 6.0787), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6453 (+10.62%).

2022 Avg (September) 6.7241
2021 Avg (September) 6.0787

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1583 6.0186 6.0668
February 6.1309 5.9934 6.0467
March 6.2258 6.0783 6.1751
April 6.1803 6.0838 6.1176
May 6.5025 6.0891 6.2505
June 6.5480 6.3789 6.4565
July 6.8244 6.4218 6.5837
August 6.8252 6.6034 6.7169
September 6.8253 6.6662 6.7241
October 6.7851 6.6505 6.7244
November 6.7858 6.5647 6.6118
December 6.5780 6.3899 6.4817