2013 SOS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.2544 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.6255 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8567 UGX

2013 SOS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SOS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 2.2544. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 15, dropping to 1.6255.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6289 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6776 to the December average rate of 2.1563, the exchange rate registered a net change of 28.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2.2544 was up 34.61% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.6747, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,272 UGX

2012 Average 7,726 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 8,128 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,144.66 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

2.2062

1.6083

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7026, compared to 2.0109 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3083 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7026

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0109

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.1523 UGX (High: 2.2544 / Low: 2.1021). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0250 UGX (High: 2.0535 / Low: 2.0285).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1523

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0250

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0108 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0108

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 2.1563) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.6573), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4990 (+30.11%).

2013 Avg (December) 2.1563

2012 Avg (December) 1.6573

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6992	1.6564	1.6776
February	1.7042	1.6393	1.6689
March	1.7017	1.6395	1.6582
April	1.7170	1.6255	1.6630
May	1.7874	1.6951	1.7369
June	1.8529	1.7633	1.8110
July	1.8915	1.8408	1.8637
August	1.9853	1.8776	1.9296
September	2.0290	1.9871	2.0061
October	2.0535	2.0285	2.0418
November	2.1039	2.0491	2.0678
December	2.2544	2.1021	2.1563