YEARLY HIGH
6.5355 UGX
YEARLY LOW
5.4262 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7639 UGX

2016 SOS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SOS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 27, valuing the pair at 6.5355. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 5.4262.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1094 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5666 to the December average rate of 6.2855, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.5355 was up 13.37% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.7650, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,678 UGX
2015 Average 24,165 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 27,131 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,546.81 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.3662
5.3985
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5651, compared to 5.9627 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3976 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5651
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.9627

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.5131 UGX (High: 6.5355 / Low: 6.0224). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0566 UGX (High: 5.8186 / Low: 5.7620).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.5131
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0566

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1032 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 6.2011) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.5373), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6638 (+11.99%).

2016 Avg (November) 6.2011
2015 Avg (November) 5.5373

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6728 5.4262 5.5666
February 5.6777 5.4938 5.5936
March 5.5315 5.4436 5.4905
April 5.5408 5.4324 5.4791
May 5.6889 5.4607 5.5363
June 5.8425 5.6076 5.7247
July 5.8839 5.7413 5.8034
August 5.8484 5.7471 5.7905
September 5.8186 5.7620 5.7951
October 6.0298 5.7611 5.9007
November 6.5355 6.0224 6.2011
December 6.4319 6.1632 6.2855