2012 SOS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6747 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.4199 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5448 UGX

2012 SOS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SOS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 1.6747. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 1.4199.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2549 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4807 to the December average rate of 1.6573, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.6747 was down 5.67% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.7754, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,374 UGX

2011 Average 7,817 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,099 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,274.39 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.6793

1.4149

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5088, compared to 1.5808 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0720 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5088

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5808

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0870 UGX (High: 1.5168 / Low: 1.4298). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0197 UGX (High: 1.5371 / Low: 1.5174).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0870

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0197

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0438 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0438

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 1.6573) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.5112), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1461 (+9.67%).

2012 Avg (December) 1.6573

2011 Avg (December) 1.5112

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5168	1.4298	1.4807
February	1.5066	1.4199	1.4369
March	1.5748	1.5048	1.5267
April	1.5605	1.5238	1.5410
May	1.5503	1.5178	1.5316
June	1.5620	1.5193	1.5361
July	1.5371	1.5174	1.5258
August	1.5525	1.5201	1.5347
September	1.5754	1.5377	1.5505
October	1.6073	1.5747	1.5934
November	1.6702	1.5974	1.6231
December	1.6747	1.6417	1.6573