2014 SOS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.9313 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.2253 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.9120 UGX

2014 SOS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SOS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 3.9313. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 2.2253.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7059 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2634 to the December average rate of 3.7857, the exchange rate registered a net change of 67.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 3.9313 was up 74.38% compared to the 2013 peak of 2.2544, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,656 UGX

2013 Average 9,290 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 11,127 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,529.73 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

3.9380

2.1111

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4998, compared to 3.3242 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8244 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4998

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3242

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.3322 UGX (High: 3.4287 / Low: 3.0964). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0453 UGX (High: 3.1096 / Low: 3.0643).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.3322

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0453

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 3.7857) against the same month in 2013 (average: 2.1563), the exchange rate shifted by +1.6294 (+75.56%).

2014 Avg (December) 3.7857

2013 Avg (December) 2.1563

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.3002	2.2253	2.2634
February	2.4110	2.2735	2.3097
March	2.5866	2.4140	2.4898
April	2.6160	2.5514	2.5758
May	2.6906	2.5756	2.6078
June	2.8273	2.6794	2.7526
July	3.0852	2.8230	2.9193
August	3.1096	3.0643	3.0924
September	3.4287	3.0964	3.1914
October	3.4733	3.3894	3.4301
November	3.7127	3.4072	3.5263
December	3.9313	3.6664	3.7857