2020 SOS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.7336 UGX

YEARLY LOW

6.2571 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.3976 UGX

2020 SOS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the SOS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 6.7336. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 6.2571.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4766 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3388 to the December average rate of 6.3088, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 6.7336 was up 3.36% compared to the 2019 peak of 6.5147, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,668 UGX

2019 Average 31,945 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 31,285 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,382.84 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

6.5499

6.2869

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4319, compared to 6.3633 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0686 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4319

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.3633

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.4162 UGX (High: 6.7336 / Low: 6.3174). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0593 UGX (High: 6.5622 / Low: 6.5029).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4162

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0593

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0956 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0956

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 6.4679) against the same month in 2019 (average: 6.3874), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0805 (+1.26%).

2020 Avg (March) 6.4679

2019 Avg (March) 6.3874

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.4076	6.2741	6.3388
February	6.3844	6.2631	6.3110
March	6.7336	6.3174	6.4679
April	6.5700	6.4139	6.5131
May	6.5622	6.5029	6.5280
June	6.5146	6.3818	6.4324
July	6.4311	6.3125	6.3779
August	6.3732	6.3125	6.3449
September	6.4182	6.3015	6.3641
October	6.4485	6.3458	6.3990
November	6.4540	6.3294	6.3851
December	6.3681	6.2571	6.3088