YEARLY HIGH
5.7650 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.8410 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8289 UGX

2015 SOS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SOS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 4, valuing the pair at 5.7650. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 3.8410.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9239 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9862 to the December average rate of 5.4560, the exchange rate registered a net change of 36.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.7650 was up 46.64% compared to the 2014 peak of 3.9313, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,825 UGX
2014 Average 14,579 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 19,205 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,619.69 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.8733
3.8146
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2341, compared to 5.4237 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1896 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2341
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4237

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.4277 UGX (High: 5.1725 / Low: 4.7448). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0681 UGX (High: 4.2887 / Low: 4.2206).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.4277
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0681

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1644 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1644

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 5.7018) against the same month in 2014 (average: 3.4301), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2717 (+66.23%).

2015 Avg (October) 5.7018
2014 Avg (October) 3.4301

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0807 3.8410 3.9862
February 4.1339 4.0506 4.0912
March 4.3048 4.1183 4.1949
April 4.2887 4.2206 4.2691
May 4.3722 4.2614 4.2982
June 4.7568 4.3694 4.5651
July 5.1725 4.7448 4.9037
August 5.4996 5.1180 5.3073
September 5.7567 5.5046 5.6364
October 5.7650 5.5421 5.7018
November 5.7333 5.3823 5.5373
December 5.5994 5.3706 5.4560