2014 TJS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

546.8419 UGX

YEARLY LOW

510.8135 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

526.7450 UGX

2014 TJS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the TJS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 30, valuing the pair at 546.8419. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 510.8135.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 36.0284 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 523.6999 to the December average rate of 537.2154, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 546.8419 was down 4.18% compared to the 2013 peak of 570.7002, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,734,209 UGX

2013 Average 2,714,441 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,554,067 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 180,142.07 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

542.2624

511.5543

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 521.1526, compared to 532.3373 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 11.1847 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 521.1526

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 532.3373

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 16.1909 UGX (High: 545.9570 / Low: 529.7661). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.5487 UGX (High: 527.0457 / Low: 520.4971).

December Spread (Volatile) ±16.1909

August Spread (Stable) ±6.5487

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 9.5866 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -9.5866

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 539.7034) against the same month in 2013 (average: 528.6411), the exchange rate shifted by +11.0623 (+2.09%).

2014 Avg (November) 539.7034

2013 Avg (November) 528.6411

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	530.0560	516.2232	523.6999
February	525.8991	510.8135	514.1133
March	534.4833	522.0374	527.2198
April	528.5843	513.7464	522.5983
May	519.1937	510.9607	515.6361
June	529.3868	518.7440	523.6485
July	539.4125	526.7948	531.9549
August	527.0457	520.4971	524.3857
September	531.0221	522.2228	525.2775
October	542.5593	529.1031	535.4870
November	546.8419	534.3508	539.7034
December	545.9570	529.7661	537.2154