2019 TJS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

400.6706 UGX

YEARLY LOW

377.8020 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

388.9530 UGX

2019 TJS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TJS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 400.6706. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 377.8020.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.8686 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 392.7830 to the December average rate of 379.3763, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 400.6706 was down 6.67% compared to the 2018 peak of 429.3169, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,003,353 UGX

2018 Average 2,037,466 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,889,010 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 114,343.00 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

401.2672

377.3863

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 394.3587, compared to 383.5474 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.8113 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 394.3587

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 383.5474

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 12.2891 UGX (High: 392.3782 / Low: 380.0891). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.9090 UGX (High: 392.9062 / Low: 390.9972).

August Spread (Volatile) ±12.2891

July Spread (Stable) ±1.9090

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 8.2108 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -8.2108

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 399.2771) against the same month in 2018 (average: 415.2933), the exchange rate shifted by -16.0162 (-3.86%).

2019 Avg (May) 399.2771

2018 Avg (May) 415.2933

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	395.8968	388.6522	392.7830
February	392.5569	388.6751	389.3283
March	394.9298	391.9185	392.8008
April	398.3329	393.7955	396.2654
May	400.6706	397.1307	399.2771
June	399.6128	390.7752	395.6975
July	392.9062	390.9972	391.8055
August	392.3782	380.0891	387.6328
September	381.0148	378.2601	379.4220
October	384.7507	379.6674	381.6434
November	382.8781	380.2345	381.4042
December	382.1206	377.8020	379.3763