2018 TJS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

429.3169 UGX

YEARLY LOW

391.1809 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

407.5613 UGX

2018 TJS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TJS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 429.3169. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 16, dropping to 391.1809.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 38.1360 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 412.7049 to the December average rate of 394.1620, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 429.3169 was down 7.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 462.9578, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,146,584 UGX

2017 Average 2,107,211 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,955,905 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 190,679.77 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

425.3743

391.3245

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 415.8191, compared to 399.3035 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 16.5156 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 415.8191

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 399.3035

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 34.1890 UGX (High: 425.3699 / Low: 391.1809). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.0614 UGX (High: 418.7315 / Low: 415.6701).

July Spread (Volatile) ±34.1890

April Spread (Stable) ±3.0614

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 18.5074 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -18.5074

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 422.5368) against the same month in 2017 (average: 407.9658), the exchange rate shifted by +14.5710 (+3.57%).

2018 Avg (June) 422.5368

2017 Avg (June) 407.9658

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	416.4407	410.8009	412.7049
February	414.7969	410.9740	412.4933
March	418.3911	412.9327	414.4261
April	418.7315	415.6701	417.4602
May	419.3289	413.4351	415.2933
June	429.3169	418.4998	422.5368
July	425.3699	391.1809	404.0293
August	399.8442	391.2552	396.2085
September	406.0904	399.2640	403.4744
October	405.9851	398.7578	401.1347
November	398.6741	394.7148	396.8117
December	396.8819	392.0409	394.1620